Steve Hall, former head of Russia operations for the CIA, outlines patterns in the past year in the Russia-Ukraine war and discusses whether Russian President Vladimir Putin can win.
“The pattern that we’ve been seeing over the last year in the Ukrainian war is that the West is — very slowly and cautiously — and I think not to overwhelm the Ukrainian logistical capabilities and the like, slowly increase the arms and ammunition that corresponds over the last year,” Hall noted.
He continued, “Will that also be the case for the F-16s? You remember a few months ago the administration was saying, ‘We’re not going to send tanks.’ That has changed. Will this be another thing that changes? Some of that will depend on On what is happening on the ground this year during the war.
As for the possibility of Putin ending the war, Hall said he would be shocked “if Putin found a way to say, ‘No, this is a big mistake’ or ‘You’ve gone too far’ or ‘We don’t have enough resources’. That’s one of the big problems with this.”
Adding: “Where does Putin go from here? If he surrenders, it will have negative effects on him in Russia. If he does not win, it will lead to the same result. And it seems that he will not win and certainly not in the short term. I am glad that I am not in Vladimir Putin’s place now because he is not He has a lot of space to work with.”
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